If Boise won the Fiesta bowl 2 years ago instead of last year I think they've have landed in the 22-25 range, but right now they're a media darling. I respect what they've done given their situation, but their only good win is over a pretty poor OU team. Their game against Louisville in the Liberty Bowl was exciting and relatively close, but it was pretty clear that the Broncos were heavily outmatched in that one. I think they're something like 3-14 against BCS teams all time, and they've never beaten a BCS team on the road.

I think they'll lose at least a couple of games this year, even with their cupcake schedule.